Maringa
enthusiast
Posts: 329
Reg: 11-06-08
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04-25-12 12:11 PM - Post#148422
In response to MissingChico
Romney does not have a chance...I think most people in the end will determine that Romney is not too much different than Obama, and that he will not roll back any controversial bills (Obamacare, etc.) I think you will see stiffled support from conservatives, and the biggest expose on Mormonism from the media that you will ever see...I think the base will focus on the senate/house races. It will be interesting to see how the upcoming Texas primary goes in terms of Senate - Cruz or Dewhurst...I think so far in all of the recent states primaries, it has been a mixed bag of establishment and Tea Party candidates...Not sure...
I think Obama doesn't even have to agree on having any presidential debates, or he can completely dictate the format since he has all of the leverage he needs. Even if there are any, I can see that there won't be a need for vice-presidential debates. The debates can only hurt Obama/Biden.
On the other hand, all Obama has to do in the debates is quote Romneys differing views, depending on month/day on every debating subject. He has been for/against everything two or three times...
Edited by Maringa on 04-25-12 12:17 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.
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lostyankee
enthusiast
Posts: 1263
Reg: 10-27-05
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04-25-12 06:07 PM - Post#148447
In response to MissingChico
Obama's coffers aren't hurting right now. I see this as a very close election. There is way too much time now to call it, but BHO has the upper hand for sure. Some things that could play into this
1. Obamacare and AZ Supreme Court decisions. If BHO loses these as it seems likely, that doesn't bode well for a constitutional law professor.
2. Economy is not out of the woods by any means. Euro crisis could spin us into a double dip still.
3. Youth vote is not behind BHO like it was in 2008. Pretty hard to get people without a job to be passionate about you again.
A lot of BHO's punch from 2008 is sitting in the mayors office in Chicago. I still think BHO will win but it's not a slam dunk. Remember until September 08 McCain was ahead of Obama.
Should be a wild ride.
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r75002
enthusiast
Posts: 419
Reg: 06-03-06
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04-26-12 12:57 PM - Post#148472
In response to lostyankee
The Yahoo News election outlook: 100 electoral votes will decide contest
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Allenite
enthusiast
Posts: 302
Loc: Allen, TX, USA
Reg: 06-18-01
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04-27-12 10:26 AM - Post#148520
In response to r75002
Karl Rove has detailed analysis on his site at www.rove.com
Romney has work to do, but I believe it's possible for him to win. Obama is vunerable on his record. Guess it all depends upon how each candidate manages their campaign. The election will be decided by the independent voter...always is.
Obama has lost his luster/appeal to those who thought his election would be "historic". Romney was a concern among some conservatives, b/c they thought he was too moderate. They were concerned that he would be unable to rally the base. However, I believe that the V.P. choice will be an opportunity for him to select a "base rally" person. Also, in the last week, Romney has raised considerable money from big donors who had stayed neutral in the primary.
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carygold
enthusiast
Posts: 4939
Reg: 05-30-08
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04-27-12 11:07 AM - Post#148534
In response to Allenite
There are websites that take wagers on the Election winners, they seam to do well in predicting because people are placing bets.
Right now, based on betting, the odds of being President are:
Obama....60.2%
Romney...38.1%
Ron Paul...0.7%
Reference: Intrade
If CEO's increased their pay at the same rate as Average Americans
their pay would average $1,384,890 not $10,621,000 |
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